Fintuity Briefings – All You Need to Know for December
Financial markets throughout November continued their mini rally following a difficult summer to early autumn. The FTSE 100 recorded another strong month, up by 5.7% and worldwide developed market equity similarly saw an average 7% gain with emerging markets gaining 15%.
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee raised interest rates by 0.75%, up to 3%, as inflation and the cost-of-living crisis continue to dominate the news and broader economy. The autumn statement announced several tax changes which will affect every day people’s tax planning in the tax year to come, notably with the reduction to capital gains and dividend allowances.
However, positive news from the other side of the pond with the US inflation figures being lower than expected which has improved investor sentiment. Recent protests in China had threatened to turn sentiment sour, but markets have been resilient to this so far as we wait to see how it plays out. The ongoing war in Ukraine continues to weigh heavily on the commodity markets.
While this last month has heralded positive news, markets remain volatile as positive news continues to be coupled with the shifting sands of investor sentiment. The volatility has been a persistent trend in 2022, as the chart below shows, but as you can see the optimism this year has tended to be temporary.
What Does the Autumn Statement Mean for You?
With the change of government last month comes new economic priorities and as such the government announced a series of new policy directives that directly affect us all. The ongoing War in Ukraine, international market instability, the cost-of-living crisis and a deepening recession have forced policy makers to enact a series of measures to help mitigate economic hardships for millions around the country, but it is yet to be seen whether this will deliver the desired results. To this end, the key autumn statement announcements are as follows:
- The income tax and inheritance tax allowances will be frozen until 2028
- Top additional rate of income tax of 45% threshold to be lowered to £125,140
- Mortgage rates forecast to stay at 5% (OBR)
- UK officially in recession and inflation rate predicted to be 9.1% this year with OBR predicting 14% inflation
- The BOE rate is expected to rise to 5% (OBR)
- Household energy price cap to be extended for one year beyond April of 2023 with energy bills capped at £3000 – means assessed households on benefits will receive £900 in support payments next year
- Stamp duty relief to expire in 2025
- Lifetime allowance & money purchase annual allowance is also frozen
- Dividend thresholds will be reduced from £2000 to £1000 in April 2023 and will be reduced to £500 the following year
- CGT allowances cut to £6150 in 2023 and then £3000 in 2024, and dividend allowances cut to £1000 in 2023 and then £500 in 2024
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Please Note: All information included in this article were correct at the time of publishing